Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.306820 4.625914 4.973156 5.382129 5.854687 6.388709 7.045421
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.881178 4.295571 4.772325 5.370811 6.116397 7.035852 8.292594
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.581982 4.059606 4.634454 5.396324 6.412055 7.774848 9.857144
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.342789 3.865312 4.519152 5.429094 6.722811 8.613477 11.883884
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.210637 3.788664 4.541578 5.645871 7.334627 10.073905 15.688629
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.951549 3.523126 4.284981 5.437745 7.282286 10.488822 17.947070
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.828536 3.427157 4.249703 5.548152 7.763592 12.041021 24.421123
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.704603 3.318788 4.185075 5.604944 8.176669 13.695750 34.521548
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.538769 3.138979 3.999030 5.441840 8.157315 14.424062 43.892034
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.380887 2.960056 3.799629 5.232708 8.010173 14.805386 54.189549
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.336122 2.940780 3.840745 5.440217 8.768298 18.256852 141.205659
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.384538 3.061744 4.113695 6.115280 10.855150 29.741912 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.264846 2.933201 3.991202 6.068393 11.312158 36.929932 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.143158 2.793486 3.837688 5.937795 11.518871 44.513469 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.044017 2.682646 3.723916 5.874418 11.936441 58.452374 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.958063 2.587083 3.628233 5.836344 12.457361 84.301945 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.909298 2.547832 3.628855 6.017188 13.940936 229.698691 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.805819 2.412967 3.444000 5.734762 13.446412 273.129587 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.755431 2.362658 3.411116 5.814194 14.608640 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.702898 2.305448 3.360096 5.841129 15.620855 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.629578 2.209390 3.227681 5.638930 15.329524 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.557063 2.111589 3.086023 5.395969 14.710025 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.536259 2.100361 3.110684 5.597323 16.871116 NaN NaN